An independent research institute on security in the South Caucasus and beyond.

Papers

Research

Russia's Growing Military Deployment in Syunik: A Challenge to Armenian Sovereignty and Defense

Since the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, Russia has rapidly expanded its military footprint across Armenia, developing a constellation of security outposts across the Syunik province. Amid growing Moscow-Baku geopolitical cooperation and Russia’s interest in the so-called Zangezur Corridor, the continued presence of Russian forces across Syunik poses a growing challenge to both Armenia’s sovereignty and defense capacity. In a groundbreaking memo, ISA Senior Fellow Dr. Eduard Abrahamyan assesses the activities and risks around these Russian military networks.

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Research

Unpacking the Crossroads of "Peace" Initiative

The Crossroads of Peace initiative has generated much interest and speculation. Is the project a facade for concessions vis-à-vis Azerbaijan or a long-shot gambit to promote regional economic integration - and peace? How will the scheme benefit regional stakeholders? ISA’s latest memo provides a concise overview of the COP - its background, features, and economic and geopolitical implications. The memo includes a set of recommendations for expanding Armenia’s transportation connectivity - and strategic value, while maintaining its national interests.

11 min readRead More

South Caucasus Brief

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South Caucasus Brief

South Caucasus Brief - April 2026

Welcome to the South Caucasus Brief, a monthly update from the Institute for Security Analysis. Now more than ever, stakeholders need clarity and cohesion when it comes to South Caucasus…

11 min readRead More

South Caucasus Brief

South Caucasus Brief - March 2026

Welcome to the South Caucasus Brief, a monthly update from the Institute for Security Analysis. Now more than ever, stakeholders need clarity and cohesion when it comes to South Caucasus…

9 min readRead More

South Caucasus Brief

South Caucasus Brief - February 2026

Welcome to the South Caucasus Brief, a monthly update from the Institute for Security Analysis. Now more than ever, stakeholders need clarity and cohesion when it comes to South Caucasus…

9 min readRead More

South Caucasus Brief

South Caucasus Brief - March 2025

Leading this month In March, regional developments were in full swing. Earlier in the month, Azerbaijan and Armenia released an awkward string of statements on the near completion of a…

6 min readRead More

Azerbaijan Brief

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Azerbaijan Brief

Azerbaijan Brief - February 2025

Following the fatal Azerbaijan Airlines crash in December 2024 - attributed to Russian air defenses - Baku has launched a series of rhetorical salvos against Moscow. (Azerbaijan also…

6 min readRead More

Azerbaijan Brief

Azerbaijan Brief - January 2025

On January 7, a confident Ilham Aliyev, buoyed by favorable geopolitical conditions, delivered a rousing speech outlining his vision for Pax Azerbaijanica - an era of Azerbaijani supremacy…

5 min readRead More

Azerbaijan Brief

Azerbaijan Brief: Italy - Azerbaijan Relations

This week’s Azerbaijan Brief examines recent developments around the increasingly chummy Baku-Rome relationship. In recent years, Azerbaijan has managed to gain sway in Italy, a country…

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Azerbaijan Brief

Baku-Beijing Relations

This week’s Azerbaijan Brief examines the latest developments around Baku-Beijing relations. Over the summer, Azerbaijan and China inked a strategic partnership agreement, the culmination…

3 min readRead More

South Caucasus Brief

South Caucasus Brief - April 2026

Welcome to the South Caucasus Brief, a monthly update from the Institute for Security Analysis. Now more than ever, stakeholders need clarity and cohesion when it comes to South Caucasus…

11 min readRead More

South Caucasus Brief

South Caucasus Brief - March 2026

Welcome to the South Caucasus Brief, a monthly update from the Institute for Security Analysis. Now more than ever, stakeholders need clarity and cohesion when it comes to South Caucasus…

9 min readRead More

South Caucasus Brief

South Caucasus Brief - February 2026

Welcome to the South Caucasus Brief, a monthly update from the Institute for Security Analysis. Now more than ever, stakeholders need clarity and cohesion when it comes to South Caucasus…

9 min readRead More

Azerbaijan Brief

Azerbaijan Brief - February 2025

Following the fatal Azerbaijan Airlines crash in December 2024 - attributed to Russian air defenses - Baku has launched a series of rhetorical salvos against Moscow. (Azerbaijan also…

6 min readRead More